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MENTAL MODEL · M10373

Backcasting

Backcasting
BusinessHigh supportStrategic Management
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Version 1.0.0 · Updated 2026-07-28

CORE DEFINITION

Backcasting is a planning method that starts with defining a desirable future and then works backwards to identify policies and programs that will connect that specified future to the present. The fundamentals of the method were outlined by John B. Robinson from the University of Waterloo in 1990. The fundamental question of backcasting asks: "if we want to attain a certain goal, what actions must

SCAFFOLDING EFFECT

psychology

Reduce cognitive load

Backcasting is a planning method that starts with defining a desirable future and then works backwards to identify policies and programs that will connect that specified future to the present. The fun

anchor

Anchor fast decisions

Futures studies/strategic method (backcasting): first set the desired future state, then reason backwards to determine 'how to get from now to there'. The mechanism is a vision-driven reverse path.

MINIMUM ACTION

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Source support: Explicit

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    en.wikipedia.orghttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BackcastingZH · Explicit
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