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MENTAL MODEL · M3425

Technological Momentum

Technological Momentum
CultureHigh supportPhilosophy
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Updated 2026-07-31

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INTRODUCTION

English translation pending.

CORE DEFINITION

Technological momentum, a concept from the historian of technology Thomas Hughes, holds that a technology is malleable while it is young but acquires massive physical and institutional inertia once capital is invested, standards are set, and infrastructure is built. At that point it stops being shaped by society and begins to shape society, because switching costs rise steeply for everyone involved. The model is a middle path between technological determinism and pure social construction, and it implies that influence over a technology's direction is strongest early.

SCAFFOLDING EFFECT

psychology

Reduce cognitive load

- Stage check: decide whether the technology is still malleable or already locked in. - Early intervention: inject ethics and governance while switching costs are low. - Adapt, do not reverse: once momentum is set, regulate and adjust rather than trying to undo it.

anchor

Anchor fast decisions

As capital, standards, infrastructure, and user habits accumulate around a technology, the cost of replacing it rises for every actor. Those sunk commitments and coordinated expectations create a self-sustaining trajectory, so the technology increasingly constrains the choices that society can make about it.

MINIMUM ACTION

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Practice this model in one real situation:

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Source support: Explicit

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    en.wikipedia.orghttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Technological_momentumZH · Explicit
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