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MENTAL MODEL · M2340

Security Dilemma

Security Dilemma
DecideHigh supportGame Theory
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Version 1.0.0 · Updated 2026-07-30

CORE DEFINITION

A state increases its military capabilities for defensive purposes, but this is perceived by neighboring states as a threat, prompting them to also increase their military capabilities. As a result, both sides become less secure and trust is eroded. -

SCAFFOLDING EFFECT

psychology

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Misreading of defensive actions. - Distinction: Unlike 'mutually assured destruction' (an outcome), this is the 'process' that leads to conflict escalation. - In the workplace, if you start documenting a colleague's emails for self-protection (defensive), the colleague may see it as you gathering dirt (threat) and begin attacking you. Well-intentioned defense is often interpreted as malicious offense. The key to breaking the deadlock is 'trust'.

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One party increases its military capabilities for self-defense (defensive), which is interpreted by the other as a threat (offensive), prompting the other to also increase its military capabilities. As a result, both sides become less secure and trust is eroded. The misreading of defensive actions is the root cause of escalation.

MINIMUM ACTION

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Source support: Explicit

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    en.wikipedia.orghttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Security_dilemmaZH · Explicit
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