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MENTAL MODEL · M13196

Dynamic Choice

Dynamic Choice
DecideHigh supportDecision Science
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Updated 2026-09-10

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INTRODUCTION

English translation pending.

CORE DEFINITION

Dynamic choice problems are cases where each step in a sequence of choices, taken alone, serves the agent's concerns well, yet the sequence as a whole serves those concerns badly; the trouble lies in the fact that choice is spread out over time. Standard treatments involve time-biased preferences, intransitivity, plans, resoluteness, and commitment devices.

SCAFFOLDING EFFECT

psychology

Reduce cognitive load

- Review the whole path: rather than checking each step's optimality, ask whether the sequence departs from the original goal. - Commit in advance: set constraints in advance to lock in options against your future tempted self. - Spot temptation: mark options that look locally attractive but damage long-run interests when repeated.

anchor

Anchor fast decisions

The key is that stepwise optimality and overall optimality come apart: when preferences drift over time, or when the overall goal is vague and revisable, the option that is best at each moment by the then-current preferences can concatenate into a destination you never wanted. Local rationality does not accumulate into global rationality.

MINIMUM ACTION

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Source support: Explicit

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    plato.stanford.eduhttps://plato.stanford.edu/entries/dynamic-choice/ZH · Explicit
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