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MENTAL MODEL · M13167

Causation and Manipulability

Causation and Manipulability
TechnicalHigh supportScientific Methodology
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Updated 2026-09-10

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INTRODUCTION

English translation pending.

CORE DEFINITION

Manipulability theories treat a cause as a handle or device for controlling its effect: if we can change one thing so as to change another, the first is a cause of the second. The view is popular among scientists and statisticians and has strong intuitive appeal, but systematic philosophical formulation faces serious difficulties, notably the charge of circularity when action is itself understood in causal terms.

SCAFFOLDING EFFECT

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- Find the handle: reframe the question as which variable must be moved to change the outcome. - Test operability: ask whether a causal claim supplies an intervention someone could actually perform. - Watch circularity: when defining cause through action, check that the action does not presuppose causation.

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Manipulability captures the practical link between causation and effective action: we care about causes largely in order to know how to intervene. Defining a cause as a variable that can be manipulated to change an outcome binds causal knowledge to practical control. The difficulty is circularity: if action causing change defines causation while action is itself understood causally, the definition presupposes what it explains.

MINIMUM ACTION

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Source support: Explicit

  • link
    plato.stanford.eduhttps://plato.stanford.edu/entries/causation-mani/ZH · Explicit
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