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MENTAL MODEL · M7977

Dynamic Causal Modeling

Dynamic Causal Modeling
TechnicalHigh supportNeuroscience
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Updated 2026-08-10

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INTRODUCTION

English translation pending.

CORE DEFINITION

A Bayesian framework for analyzing effective connectivity between brain regions, that is, the directed causal influence one region exerts on another. A state-space model specifies candidate connections, and parameters are estimated by fitting observed time series collected under controlled perturbations, with model evidence used to compare competing structures. The key qualification is that the causal claim depends on the model's assumed structure and on the experimental design: without perturbation or temporal ordering, correlation cannot be promoted to direction. Functional connectivity and effective connectivity must not be conflated.

SCAFFOLDING EFFECT

psychology

Reduce cognitive load

- Structure specification: write down the candidate nodes and directed connections before fitting. - Perturbation design: collect time series under controlled input so direction can be identified. - Model comparison: compare competing structures on evidence rather than accepting the first fit.

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Two regions that act together produce correlated signals regardless of which one drives the other, so correlation alone cannot identify direction. Direction becomes identifiable when an external input perturbs the system and the timing of the responses reveals which region leads. Bayesian model comparison then weighs competing connection structures by how well each explains the observed data, so the causal claim is a relative judgment among specified alternatives rather than an absolute fact.

MINIMUM ACTION

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Source support: Explicit

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    en.wikipedia.orghttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dynamic_causal_modelingZH · Explicit
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