DICE
Updated 2026-08-10
INTRODUCTION
English translation pending.
CORE DEFINITION
DICE was developed by the Boston Consulting Group to predict the likelihood that a change project will succeed. Its four factors are Duration, the interval between project milestones or the total duration; Integrity, the team's execution capability and project management quality; Commitment, the level of support from executives and from employees; and Effort, the extra workload the change demands of staff. The DICE score is computed as D plus twice I plus twice C1 plus C2 plus E, where C1 is executive commitment and C2 is employee commitment. A lower score, roughly seven to fourteen, means success is more likely, and a higher score means greater risk.
SCAFFOLDING EFFECT
Reduce cognitive load
- Score the project before you start: quantify the four factors instead of trusting intuition. - Weight the soft factors: integrity and commitment count double, so mind them closely. - Fix the weakest factor: raise the overall score by repairing the single worst dimension.
Anchor fast decisions
An empirical BCG model for predicting the success or failure of change projects. The four factors of Duration, Integrity, Commitment and Effort are weighted into a DICE score, and the lower the score, roughly seven to fourteen, the more likely the success, replacing the intuition that change depends on luck with measurable variables.
MINIMUM ACTION
In progress 0/1Practice this model in one real situation:
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Source support: Explicit
- en.wikipedia.orghttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/DICE_frameworkverified
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