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MENTAL MODEL · M6530

Consequence and Sequel

Consequence and Sequel
DecidemediumDecision Science
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Updated 2026-08-09

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INTRODUCTION

English translation pending.

CORE DEFINITION

C&S belongs to Edward de Bono's Six Thinking Hats family of thinking tools. C stands for Consequence, what will happen in the short term, and S stands for Sequel, what will happen in the long term. The time dimension is divided into immediate consequences, short-term consequences of one to five years, medium-term consequences of five to twenty-five years, and long-term consequences beyond twenty-five years. Because human beings naturally attend to immediate benefit, C&S forces decision makers to think systematically about effects at different time scales, which produces genuinely forward-looking decisions instead of reactive ones.

SCAFFOLDING EFFECT

psychology

Reduce cognitive load

- Widen the time axis: list immediate, short, medium and long-term outcomes before any decision. - Counter present bias: make the distant consequences as visible as the nearby ones. - Expose hidden long tails: actively search for delayed harms the immediate view conceals.

anchor

Anchor fast decisions

Built on time-scale extension. Splitting consequences into immediate, short, medium and long-term bands overcomes the preference for the present, so decision makers weigh distant effects rather than chasing the nearest visible reward.

MINIMUM ACTION

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Source support: Explicit

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    en.wikipedia.orghttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Edward_de_BonoZH · Explicit
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