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MENTAL MODEL · M2702

Simulation Hypothesis

Simulation Hypothesis
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Version 1.0.0 · Updated 2026-07-30

CORE DEFINITION

Based on three premises, it is highly probable that we live in a computer-simulated virtual world. 1. Any civilization will eventually develop enormous computational power. 2. Such a civilization would be interested in simulating ancestors or history. 3. The number of simulated worlds (virtual) will vastly exceed the number of real worlds (base) (by billions of times). - Given so many simulated worlds, the probability that we happen to be in the one and only 'real world' is close to zero. -

SCAFFOLDING EFFECT

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Proposed by Bostrom, based on three premises: computational growth, simulation interest, and the numerical advantage of simulations. It uses probabilistic reasoning to argue that we are most likely in a simulation. It is a thought experiment rather than a falsifiable scientific hypothesis.

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Source support: Explicit

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    en.wikipedia.orghttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Simulation_hypothesisZH · Explicit
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