Wishful Thinking
Version 1.0.0 · Updated 2026-07-30
CORE DEFINITION
Believing something is true (or false) because one hopes it is true (or false). This is a cognitive shortcut where desire overrides evidence.
SCAFFOLDING EFFECT
Reduce cognitive load
Brutal audit. When you feel 'very excited' about a decision and cannot find any flaws, be wary of wishful thinking. Ask yourself: 'If my most disliked person proposed this plan, could I still see its merits?'
Anchor fast decisions
Judging based solely on subjective desires rather than objective facts, this is a wishful thinking bias, leading to systematic misestimation of probabilities and risks.
MINIMUM ACTION
In progress 0/1Practice this model in one real situation:
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Source support: Explicit
- zh.wikipedia.orghttps://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E4%B8%80%E5%BB%82%E6%83%85%E9%A1%98verified
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