Error Management Theory
Version 1.0.0 · Updated 2026-07-30
CORE DEFINITION
When the costs of two types of errors are asymmetric, evolution (or rational design) tends to favor the type of error with lower cost. For example: the cost of mistaking rustling grass for a tiger (false alarm) is less than the cost of mistaking a tiger for wind (miss), so humans tend to be hypervigilant.
SCAFFOLDING EFFECT
Reduce cognitive load
Understand that 'bias' may be adaptive design. When evaluating cognitive biases, first ask 'In what environment is this bias the optimal error tendency?' rather than simply criticizing it as 'irrational'.
Anchor fast decisions
It advocates that instead of trying to prevent errors at all costs, treat errors as a source of information, and establish a mechanism of 'quick detection—cheap failure—learning from it', using errors to drive system improvement.
MINIMUM ACTION
In progress 0/3Practice this model in one real situation:
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Source support: Explicit
- en.wikipedia.orghttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Error_management_theoryverified
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