Crossing the River by Feeling the Stones
Version 1.0.0 · Updated 2026-07-30
CORE DEFINITION
In an uncertain environment, instead of making comprehensive plans, advance through small-scale trials, immediate feedback, and continuous adjustment. Scaffolding role: counter over-planning. Acknowledge that "the future is unknowable," replace prediction with action, and gradually discern patterns through trial and error, especially suitable for innovation and transition periods.
SCAFFOLDING EFFECT
Reduce cognitive load
Counter over-planning. Acknowledge that "the future is unknowable," replace prediction with action, and gradually discern patterns through trial and error, especially suitable for innovation and transition periods.
Anchor fast decisions
In uncertain environments, comprehensive planning is prone to distortion. Replace prediction with small-step iteration of "trial-feedback-adjustment": each step is taken only after finding solid footing (feeling the stone), using action to obtain information and reduce uncertainty. Suitable for innovation and transition periods.
MINIMUM ACTION
In progress 0/3Practice this model in one real situation:
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Source support: Explicit
- zh.wikipedia.orghttps://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E6%91%B8%E8%91%97%E7%9F%B3%E9%A0%AD%E9%81%8E%E6%B2%B3verified
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