Probe
Version 1.0.0 · Updated 2026-07-30
CORE DEFINITION
When a task is too complex and has too many unknowns to estimate, arrange a short-term 'probe task' that is not limited to delivering code, specifically for research and trial-and-error. Scaffolding role: buy insurance at this moment. When facing unknown difficulties, don't stubbornly commit to a deadline. First apply for a day to do a 'Spike', explore the depth, and then make a plan.
SCAFFOLDING EFFECT
Reduce cognitive load
Buy insurance at this moment. When facing unknown difficulties, don't stubbornly commit to a deadline. First apply for a day to do a 'Spike', explore the depth, and then make a plan.
Anchor fast decisions
When a task has high uncertainty and cannot be estimated, forcing a commitment to a deadline will plant a landmine. A 'Spike' is a time-boxed, goal-oriented research/trial-and-error activity specifically designed to reduce uncertainty, turning the unknown into known before making a reliable plan. Its output is 'knowledge' rather than functionality.
MINIMUM ACTION
In progress 0/1Practice this model in one real situation:
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Source support: Explicit
- en.wikipedia.orghttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probeverified
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