Expert Intuition Validation
Updated 2026-08-10
INTRODUCTION
English translation pending.
CORE DEFINITION
A validation method that subjects expert intuitive judgments to systematic checking, distinguishing intuition resting on genuine pattern recognition from intuition that reproduces a cognitive bias. Its core proposition, following research on expert intuition, is that fast judgment is trustworthy when the domain is regular and the expert has had ample feedback, and unreliable outside those conditions, so the cues must be made explicit and checked against outcomes. The qualifier is that validation requires a working feedback loop.
SCAFFOLDING EFFECT
Reduce cognitive load
- Cue extraction: ask the expert which features of the situation drove the judgment. - Domain check: confirm the domain has regular patterns and that the expert has had feedback. - Outcome tracking: compare the intuitive calls against results to see whether they hold up.
Anchor fast decisions
Intuition is compiled from experience, so it inherits both the regularities of the domain and any bias present in the feedback that produced it. Making the cues explicit allows them to be compared with actual outcomes, which is the only way to tell whether the pattern the expert is recognizing is real or an artifact.
MINIMUM ACTION
In progress 0/1Practice this model in one real situation:
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Source support: Explicit
- en.wikipedia.orghttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expertverified
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