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MENTAL MODEL · M4370

Moral Luck Paradox

Moral Luck Paradox
CultureHigh supportEthics
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Updated 2026-08-08

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INTRODUCTION

English translation pending.

CORE DEFINITION

Framed by philosophers Bernard Williams and Thomas Nagel in a collection on moral luck. Moral responsibility presupposes that agents control what they are judged for, yet outcomes and circumstances are substantially determined by factors outside their control. Because judgments in practice track outcomes as well as intentions, the same degree of care can yield praise or blame depending on luck, which creates a tension at the center of normative ethics.

SCAFFOLDING EFFECT

psychology

Reduce cognitive load

- Split the assessment: judge the decision by the information available and the outcome separately - Design rules: base sanctions on due care rather than on harm alone, so luck does not set the penalty - Read reactions: notice when your blame tracks damage rather than negligence

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Anchor fast decisions

Attributions of responsibility are formed from two inputs: what the agent intended and what actually happened. Outcomes are vivid and easy to observe, while intentions must be inferred, so judgments weight outcomes more heavily than the control criterion allows. The result is that identical care produces different verdicts depending on luck.

MINIMUM ACTION

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Source support: Explicit

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    en.wikipedia.orghttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moral_luckZH · Explicit
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