MENTAL MODEL · M3407

Stochastic Terrorism

SystemsHigh supportSystems Theory

Included

Version 1.0.0 · Updated 2026-07-30

CORE DEFINITION

Public figures demonize a group through mass media. Without directly ordering attacks, the statistical probability ensures that among the vast audience, some unstable individuals will be incited to commit violence.

SCAFFOLDING EFFECT

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Probabilistic incitement. This is the statistical version of 'I did not kill Bo Ren, but Bo Ren died because of me.' As long as the base is large enough, hate-inciting rhetoric will inevitably translate into real violence, even though you don't know who will act.

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Stochastic terrorism refers to public figures repeatedly inciting through suggestive rhetoric, causing a violent act to occur by 'random' individuals; the inciter need not give direct orders to produce statistically measurable effects.

MINIMUM ACTION

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Practice this model in one real situation:

Continuously propagate hostile symbols through media. Individual audience members 'claim' the action themselves. Afterwards, the inciter denies direct responsibility.

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Source support: Explicit

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en.wikipedia.orghttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stochastic_terrorismZH · Explicit
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