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MENTAL MODEL · M3337

Iron Law of Prohibition

Iron Law of Prohibition
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Version 1.0.0 · Updated 2026-07-30

CORE DEFINITION

The more stringent the prohibition on a substance (such as alcohol or drugs), the higher the potency/purity of that substance. Because smaller volumes are easier to conceal, smugglers prioritize transporting high-purity drugs (e.g., heroin instead of opium), leading to increased harm.

SCAFFOLDING EFFECT

psychology

Reduce cognitive load

Analysis of side effects of regulation. In corporate management, if you strictly prohibit a certain channel (e.g., forbidding bypassing the chain of command), employees may achieve their goals through more covert and destructive means (e.g., anonymous complaints, external leaks).

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The Iron Law of Prohibition (Cowan's iron law) states: the stricter the enforcement against prohibited goods, the more the forms circulating in the black market evolve toward high-concentration, high-potency variants (because they are easier to conceal and transport), and the prohibition ironically escalates the intensity of harm.

MINIMUM ACTION

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Source support: Explicit

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    en.wikipedia.orghttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iron_law_of_prohibitionZH · Explicit
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