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MENTAL MODEL · M3198

Dutch Disease

Dutch Disease
BusinessHigh supportDevelopment Economics
Included
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Version 1.0.0 · Updated 2026-07-30

CORE DEFINITION

Refers to a phenomenon where a country's surge in exports of a certain primary product (such as oil or natural gas) leads to appreciation of its currency, thereby weakening the international competitiveness of other export industries (especially manufacturing), ultimately resulting in a monolithic economic structure and deindustrialization.

SCAFFOLDING EFFECT

psychology

Reduce cognitive load

Early warning for resource curse. It explains why resource-rich countries may fall into development traps. In resource development and industrial policy formulation, it reminds to establish sovereign wealth funds, invest in diversification, and upgrade technology to avoid over-reliance on resource exports.

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A country's export boom of a certain resource (such as oil and gas) pushes up the exchange rate, suppressing the competitiveness of other sectors (manufacturing, agriculture), leading to a monolithic economic structure and increased volatility.

MINIMUM ACTION

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Source support: Explicit

  • link
    en.wikipedia.orghttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dutch_diseaseZH · Explicit
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