Cognitive Scaffold

Preparing your thinking workspace

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MENTAL MODEL · M1213

Rock's Law

Rock's Law
BusinessHigh supportEconomics
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Version 1.0.0 · Updated 2026-07-30

CORE DEFINITION

Moore's second law. While chip performance doubles every 18 months, the cost of semiconductor fabrication plants (fabs) also doubles every four years. This means that as technology advances, fewer players can afford to play the game, ultimately leading to monopoly.

SCAFFOLDING EFFECT

psychology

Reduce cognitive load

Understanding the high barriers to entry in high-tech. Technological progress does not always bring democratization. In cutting-edge fields (such as AI large model training), cost barriers can become so high that only giants can enter.

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Anchor fast decisions

The cost of chip fabrication plants rises at a steeper rate per generation than Moore's law, eventually hitting economic limits.

MINIMUM ACTION

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Source support: Explicit

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    en.wikipedia.orghttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moore%27s_second_lawZH · Explicit
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