Cognitive Scaffold

Preparing your thinking workspace

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MENTAL MODEL · M13301

Risk

Risk
DecideHigh supportDecision Science
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Updated 2026-09-10

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INTRODUCTION

English translation pending.

CORE DEFINITION

The study of risk has developed since the 1970s into an important interdisciplinary field, connected to several branches of philosophy, involving the definition of risk and questions in epistemology, philosophy of science, philosophy of technology, ethics, decision theory, and philosophy of economics. At its simplest, risk joins the probability of an event with the severity of its outcomes.

SCAFFOLDING EFFECT

psychology

Reduce cognitive load

- Two-dimensional assessment: split risk into probability and severity of consequences, and avoid looking at only one side. - Responsibility inquiry: ask who bears the risk, who benefits, and whether there is informed consent. - Threshold setting: set differentiated acceptability levels for consequences of different kinds.

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Anchor fast decisions

Risk is a philosophical problem because it joins fact and value at both ends: one end is uncertainty or probability, the other is the severity and acceptability of consequences. The same probability data carries entirely different ethical meaning under different arrangements of who bears the risk, who benefits, and whether there was informed consent, so risk cannot be reduced to a bare number.

MINIMUM ACTION

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Source support: Explicit

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