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MENTAL MODEL · M6247

Tyranny of Small Decisions

Tyranny of Small Decisions
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Updated 2026-08-05

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INTRODUCTION

English translation pending.

CORE DEFINITION

Formulated by Alfred Kahn, the tyranny of small decisions describes a situation in which a series of separate, individually rational choices produces a large-scale outcome that no one deliberately chose and most would reject. Each person decides to drive rather than take the train; collectively the ridership collapses and the rail service is withdrawn. The failure is aggregation rather than individual error, so remedies must operate at the level of coordination or collective rules.

SCAFFOLDING EFFECT

psychology

Reduce cognitive load

- Look at the sum: ask what the accumulation of these small choices produces overall. - Find the missing decision: identify the collective choice nobody is actually making. - Add coordination: introduce a rule or mechanism that prices the aggregate effect.

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Anchor fast decisions

Each decision is made against the marginal private cost, which excludes the effect it has on everyone else's options. As small choices accumulate, the shared option they depend on deteriorates until it disappears, and it is then gone for everyone. Because no single choice appears decisive, no individual has a reason to stop, so only a coordinating rule can change the aggregate.

MINIMUM ACTION

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Source support: Explicit

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    en.wikipedia.orghttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tyranny_of_small_decisionsZH · Explicit
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