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MENTAL MODEL · M3258

Unbalanced Growth Theory

Unbalanced Growth Theory
BusinessmediumDevelopment Economics
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Updated 2026-08-01

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INTRODUCTION

English translation pending.

CORE DEFINITION

Proposed by Albert Hirschman as a deliberate alternative to balanced growth. The argument is that developing economies should not spread scarce investment evenly, since that dilutes effort and breaks no bottleneck. Instead they should concentrate on strategic sectors with strong linkages, meaning industries that buy from many suppliers or sell to many users. Breaking the bottleneck in such a sector transmits demand and opportunity up and down the chain, so deliberate imbalance becomes a lever that pulls the rest of the economy forward. Imbalance is the method, not the goal.

SCAFFOLDING EFFECT

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Reduce cognitive load

- Leverage search: find the node whose expansion pulls the most of the chain with it. - Resource focus: concentrate scarce effort instead of spreading it thin. - Follow-through: track sectors left behind and fill gaps before they become permanent.

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When resources are limited, spreading them evenly means nothing reaches the threshold needed to break a bottleneck. Concentrating on a sector with strong forward and backward linkages changes that: its expansion generates demand for upstream suppliers and supplies for downstream users, and those pressures force investment in adjacent sectors. The imbalance creates the tension that pulls the chain forward, so the resulting growth is uneven by design rather than by accident.

MINIMUM ACTION

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Source support: Explicit

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    baike.baidu.comhttps://baike.baidu.com/item/不平衡增长理论ZH · Explicit
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