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MENTAL MODEL · M3210

Demographic Dividend

Demographic Dividend
BusinessHigh supportEconomics
Included
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Version 1.0.0 · Updated 2026-07-30

CORE DEFINITION

It refers to the economic growth opportunities brought about by changes in population structure. When the proportion of the working-age population rises and the dependency ratio falls, if policies are appropriate, a 'dividend' that promotes economic growth can be released. It is divided into the first demographic dividend (increased labor supply) and the second demographic dividend (increased savings).

SCAFFOLDING EFFECT

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Growth window identification. It provides an analytical framework for understanding the economic impact of demographic changes. In investment strategy formulation, it helps identify opportunities in industries such as consumption, education, and healthcare brought about by demographic changes, as well as the impact of labor cost changes on manufacturing.

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When the proportion of the working-age population is high, the dependency ratio is low and output is strong, forming a phased growth dividend, but it will fade with aging.

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Source support: Explicit

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    zh.wikipedia.orghttps://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E4%BA%BA%E5%8F%A3%E7%BA%A2%E5%88%A9ZH · Explicit
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